Cole Hamels of the Philadelphia Phillies is the latest organizational example where developed talent is retained. How much room do the Halos and Dodgers have left before crossing the competitive-balance-tax threshold?
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CAP-SIZE HINDSIGHT: 3-2 Triumph
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Above Asterisks ( *) = Corresponding Plays And/Or Events
Parity For 2013:
This is the peak for all major-league franchises: $178M. I have always been amused when the Yankees and pre-trade Red Sox were considered landing spots for any free agent with no regard to cost. The reason is that New York has been virtually invisible except for the rumors during the last 2 campaigns. Boston just dumped an unhappy star and 2 bad contracts to press the reset button. The new CBA has a 50% luxury tax, increasing it incrementally to that over 4 years. That means a $20M ace will cost $30M, which is why even the Bronx Bombers lack interest after being penalized over $200M for the last 9 seasons.
This is only a rough estimate because there are so many moving parts. However, it does show where the clubs are with only slight maneuvering ability, which will affect their decisions for ‘13. These computations do not include low-ticket inventory, like Juan Pierre ($800K) or Nate Schierholtz ($1.3M) who are unsigned for 2013. The red pinstripes set aside $5M for the trading deadline and $3M to cover achieved incentives. That means $19.5M for 2 veteran relievers, 1 right-handed power bat and 2 inexpensive players, like Pierre.
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$178M Range Teams:
NOTE: Click entries button to open more than the visible 10.
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* 2012 Dollars
Los Angeles (NL) is virtually done spending after they took on big salaries, which means that pickups Shane Victorino, Joe Blanton, Brandon League, Randy Choate and some of their own won’t be returning. The Angels have 3 to decide on, and they are hurlers: Zack Greinke, Dan Haren and Ervin Santana. The 4 Yanks in that column are: Mariano Rivera, Hiroki Kuroda, Russell Martin and Nick Swisher. Mo ($15M) and Kuroda ($10M) are the keepers with the starter expected to get a big raise. The Motor City crew includes their closer Jose Valverde, rotation arm Anibal Sanchez, and Delmon Young. Expect all to return with pay increases, which should leave $36M for 6 other roster slots.
These GM’s will have limited flexibility without a swap. Tomorrow, I will cover deep-pocketed and big city teams with some talking money. New York has the Mets, Chicago has 2 organizations, Texas, Miami and Red Sox Nation are the rest. When these other 6 franchises hit their ceiling, there will be stars who play their entire career for 1 club, like Mike Schmidt.
He is 4-1 with a 2.75 August ERA in his last 5 efforts, going at least 7 full every time. Against the Braves for 2 at that Ted, his ledger reads: 0-1, a 8.74 ERA, 11.1 innings, 18 hits, 11 all-earned runs, 1 walked and 12 fanned. That stated, he has only been healthy and ready for action this month.
He is 4-4 with a 3.72 home ERA, which is 2.01 lower at the Ted. He has toiled 6.1 frames or more in 10 of 24 showings with 9 clunkers. However, in July and August for 9 appearances, he is 3-4 with a 2.50 ERA. In both parks (1 each) against the Phils, his line is: 1-1, a 2.25 ERA, 15 total, 11 hits, 4 all-earned runs, 2 BB and 14 whiffs.
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Starters’ photos, not described otherwise, are in the 1st inning.
Quality number of the pitcher: 1 – 5
Slot on his club: 1 – 5
Ranking is 1 to 5 & 15 for the less adventurous.
*** = Approximately equal to after plus-and-minus computation
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Check out my previous publications (The Future Relief Corps) and the 99 storylines–so far–for 2012 on the Phillies page, where there is an excerpt photo.
Tal’s Handy Stats is daily coverage. I am alternating the 2012 ERA For The NL East and the 2012 ERA For The MLB 5. Thank you, to all who bookmarked my page.
Philadelphia Phillies storyline: 2013’s tone is a wild card (Horsemen Stats)
Tal Venada (Author Archives)