Recently, it seems like more and more NFL analysts and Jets fans have been saying that the New York Jets should and will take Mitch Trubisky with the number six overall pick in this year’s NFL draft.
While Trubisky is probably the best quarterback in this draft, and while the Jets definitely need a quarterback, Mike Maccagnan should not waste this pick on Trubisky.
While many draft geniuses (including the ultimate mock draft wizard, Mel Kiper) may disagree with me, there are two reasons why the Jets should not take Trubisky.
Firstly, the Jets as a team are not ready to develop a young quarterback. After sloughing almost all of their talented veteran players, especially on offense, at the beginning of the offseason, Gang Green is not ready for even a real quality rookie quarterback, much less a one that has the amount of question marks that Trubisky does.
If the Jets had a rookie quarterback under center, the lack of talent that would surround him would almost certainly set him up to fail. The pressure to win, compounded by the typical loud impatience of Jets fans and the New York media, would almost certainly get to Trubisky and, without much veteran leadership in the locker room to help him cope, could damage his development.
This is arguably what happened with both Mark Sanchez and Geno Smith.
And look how they turned out.
It’s better for the Jets to wait a little while (until the 2018 draft at least) before they begin searching for the quarterback for the future. By then, hopefully some of the younger players on offense, such as promising wide receivers Robby Anderson and Charone Peake and young offensive lineman Brandon Shell, develop into better players such that they are able to better support the new QB’s development.
This also allows the Jets to use this year’s draft to take some extremely talented offensive skill position players in the first few rounds (Leonard Fournette anybody?) in order to prepare the offense for the chosen one’s coming.
Chosen as the first overall pick in the 2018 draft, that is.
The second reason that the Jets shouldn’t take Trubisky is that he isn’t good enough to waste the sixth pick on.
Many experts say that he’s the best quarterback in this draft. They may be right, but when they start saying the Trubisky reminds them of Aaron Rodgers (like draft guru Todd McShay did), that’s where they lose me.
Trubisky does have talent, there’s no denying it. He can make all of the throws and usually has good accuracy. He has shown that he has the ability to go through his progressions before throwing the ball and even look off defensive backs at times, something that Jets quarterbacks haven’t been able to do in recent memory.
Trubisky’s footwork and throwing motion are pretty solid as well.
That being said, he reminds me more of Jay Cutler than Aaron Rodgers.
Both Trubisky and Cutler have great arm strength. Trubisky might have better arm strength and accuracy than Cutler (maybe even better decision-making too). He is also unquestionably more athletic.
The problem is that Trubisky is incredibly inconsistent. He can look like a superstar one game and a chump the next. In one play he might throw to the third receiver he looks at and in another he might stare down his intended receiver. His pocket presence is also questionable at times, which is extremely dangerous.
The biggest aspect of Trubisky’s game, and what most reminds me of Jay Cutler, is that Trubisky seems to turn it off at times. By this, I mean once he gets off to a bad start, he doesn’t seem like he is able to put himself back together. He just hangs his head and takes a beating.
The Jets do not need someone like this.
The Jets need a winner.
Furthermore, this inconsistency combined with the fact that Trubisky is a junior who has only started one year and was unable to beat out Marquise Williams (who went undrafted and is currently not on a team) are major red flags.
Although Mike Maccagnan seems to like drafting quarterbacks who have had only one good college season (see Christian Hackenberg), he shouldn’t be interested in the risk that drafting Trubisky entails.
Instead, Maccagnan should try to draft a quality skill position player like Leonard Fournette or Malik Hooker with the sixth overall pick. Or he can trade down and take someone like O.J. Howard, who seems like he is set to be the next Rob Gronkowski.
In any case, drafting Trubisky, especially in the first round, would be Maccagnan’s worst move as GM yet.
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