Knowing who to avoid in drafts is important. Just as important as identifying breakouts. In the first edition of this column, I identified four players. Kerryon Johnson, T.Y. Hilton, Aaron Rodgers, and Marshawn Lynch were included. I still feel the same way about Rodgers. Don’t ever draft a quarterback at his ADP. Hilton looks a lot better now with the recent Andrew Luck developments. I’m fine drafting him at this point. I still don’t like Johnson. The Lions just don’t seem committed to the run, and there are a lot of mouths to feed in Detroit. I’m still not looking to draft Lynch. His age and Doug Martin are both scary. Now it’s time for round two. Keep in mind that every player has value at the right price. This is just a critique of those prices.
Allen Robinson– I just don’t see why everyone is so bought into Robinson. His ADP on Fantasy Pros is 48.6. That makes no sense to me. Robinson has only had one good season in his career, and that was back in 2015. He’s also coming off a torn ACL, so there’s clearly a health question. You also have to consider that his quarterback is Mitch Trubisky and that the Bears have a number of mouths to feed in their offense. Avoid him at this price.
Alshon Jeffery– There are so many reasons to avoid Jeffery. Let’s start with the obvious injury risk. Jeffery played all last season with a torn rotator cuff in his shoulder. He had surgery after the Super Bowl in February, but he still has not fully recovered. Jeffery started training camp on the PUP list and it seems likely that he won’t be ready for the start of the season. There are way too many question marks for me when it comes to Jeffery.
Dion Lewis– This may be the worst draft day value out there. Lewis isn’t even that good of a backup in my opinion. He’s been injury prone, and clearly wouldn’t be asked to handle a full workload if Derrick Henry went down. However, he’s currently going at 62 according to fantasy pros. That’s ahead of guys like Johnson, Lynch, and Tevin Coleman. Don’t reach for Lewis at that price.
Kenyan Drake– I think Drake is a great player, but taking him the third round is ridiculous. He’s never been a true workhorse back at any time in his career, including college. Frank Gore and Kalen Ballage are both in Miami, and they are going to take work away from Drake. Consider the fact that he has never had more than 165 touches in a season between four with Alabama and two in Miami. That has to mean something. If you’re expecting anywhere close to 300 touches from Drake your dreaming.