I looked at all 30 NBA teams and made my best estimation for each team’s win totals for the season versus their Las Vegas odds. In this article, I include my Eastern Conference projections and whether they are over or under the Vegas win total. I will post the Western Conference later this week.
Las Vegas: 23.5
The Hawks are going to be the worst team in the NBA. Under new head coach Lloyd Pierce, the top priority should be player development. Trae Young will have his fair share of ups and downs, but ultimately put up decent numbers on bad percentages.
My projection: Under, 21-61
Las Vegas: 57.5
The Celtics are favorites to come out of the East. I would wager they win even more than my projection if not for concerns of sorting out rotations and pecking order with the return of Gordon Hayward and the rise of Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum. Not to mention their two best players last season, Kyrie Irving and Al Horford. Yeesh.
My projection: Over, 60-22
Las Vegas: 32.5
For the first time since 2015, the Nets actually own their first round draft pick for 2019. They will not actively try to lose, as they have the past several seasons, and Shabazz Napier was a nice pickup, but the lack of overall roster talent means they should reap the benefits of a top-five pick.
My projection: Under, 25-57
Las Vegas: 35.5
The Hornets have fooled us in the past coming into the season, but I’m not falling for it this year. This might be the year the Hornets finally trade Kemba Walker, who will be a free agent next summer, and the win total would plummet even more.
My projection- Under, 32-50
Las Vegas: 27.5
The Bulls might have gotten worse this summer when they added Jabari Parker, contract aside. I’m still hopeful Jabari has untapped upside if he can stay healthy, and Wendell Carter should be good immediately.
My projection: Over, 29-53
Las Vegas: 30.5
When healthy, the Cavs are not going to be that bad this season. Head coach Ty Lue can finally prove himself now that he isn’t in LeBron James’ shadow. Collin Sexton is good. I just don’t think Kevin Love can stay on the court for 75 games.
My projection: Over, 35-47
Las Vegas: 37.5
It is hard to be optimistic about the Detroit Pistons. They have a real problem at backup power forward and center. But I still think they can exceed this number.
My projection: Over, 39-43
Las Vegas: 47.5
The Pacers may underachieve this season. They won a lot of close games last season. But congratulations on losing Lance Stephenson.
My projection: Under, 46-36
Las Vegas: 41.5
This team wins more than 35 games because Eric Spoelstra is a top-tier head coach. They’re just not very talented. Hopefully, they can find a suitor for Hassan Whiteside.
My projection: Over, 42-40
Las Vegas: 46.5
I firmly believe, as many do, that the Bucks have been held back by Jason Kidd and Joe Prunty. The is Giannis’ first good coach. They will secure homecourt in the first round of the playoffs.
My projection: Over, 50-32
New York Knicks
Las Vegas: 29.5
Kristaps Porzingis should be out until 2019. The Knicks have absolutely no reason to rush him back. They are obviously a very bad team without Porzingis. Unless Kevin Knox plays like he did in Summer League this season, and assuming Kristaps takes his time returning, the Knicks will push Atlanta for the worst record in the league.
My projection: Under, 24-58
Las Vegas: 31.5
The Magic have some young talent, but lack a starting-calibre point guard. Aaron Gordon’s contract might look bad when the Magic don’t make any improvements this season.
My projection: Under, 28-54
Las Vegas: 54.5
I’m down on the Sixers for a few reasons. Can Embiid stay healthy? Is Wilson Chandler a viable replacement for losing Marco Belinelli and Ersan Ilyasova? How about that Markelle Fultz guy?
My projection: Under, 50-32
Las Vegas: 54.5
The Raptors ceiling has been raised. Head coach Nick Nurse has the deepest team in the league to tinker with.
My projection: Over, 57-25
Las Vegas: 44.5
If John Wall can stay healthy (like he had the previous four seasons last year) the Wizards will comfortably make the playoffs in 2019.
My projection: Over, 45-37